Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances May 2023: Tracking the Ravens Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane
Lamar Jackson Looking On Postgame vs. Jaguars

Key Takeaways:

  • The Ravens playoff chances are 60%, slightly up from April, when QB Lamar Jackson signed his contract extension.
  • Following Jackson's signing, the Ravens now have a 29.4% chance to win the AFC North. Among teams in the division, only the Bengals have better odds.
  • The Ravens have a 4.8% chance to win Super Bowl LVIII in 2024.

Despite being without quarterback Lamar Jackson for a good chunk of last season, the Baltimore Ravens finished 10-7 and made the playoffs for the fourth time in five years. A former NFL MVP, Jackson missed five games last season as the Ravens went just 2-3 in those games. Although Baltimore was ousted from the playoffs by the Bengals in the AFC Wild Card Round, there was much to feel good about in 2022.

The big question this offseason, however, was Jackson’s future. On April 27, Jackson finally inked a five-year, $260M contract after months of speculation about his landing spot. As the Ravens odds change, I will provide updates this offseason and throughout the course of the regular season.

What Are The Ravens Playoff Chances?

The Ravens playoff chances are 60%. Entering their 16th season under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens have finished with fewer than eight wins only once in his tenure. A big piece to Baltimore’s playoff puzzle will be QB Lamar Jackson's play. Here is a table showing the Ravens playoff chances compared to their Super Bowl chances, AFC championship chances and AFC North chances:

💪 Ravens Playoff Chances60% Chance
Ravens Miss Playoffs40% Chance
🏆 Ravens Win Super Bowl4.8% Chance
👑 Ravens Win AFC8.3% Chance
🔥 Ravens Win AFC North29.4% Chance
🗽 New York Times Postseason Simulator for Ravens Not Available Yet
🏈 Ravens ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)2.0 FPI
Data Last Verified by ExpertMay 26, 2023

Baltimore’s playoff odds are calculated using implied probability. Converting Baltimore’s -150 odds, according to DraftKings Maryland, gives the 60% chance listed above. Along with the Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle Seahawks, the Ravens are one of three teams given roughly equal odds to make and miss the playoffs. 

The Ravens have a 29.4% chance of winning the AFC North, which is a slight boost compared to April before Jackson's deal. The Ravens chances of winning the AFC and Super Bowl chances have gone up a bit after Jackson's signing as well, with a 8.3% chance of winning the AFC and a 4.8% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

Aside from implied probability, will also use give other postseason indicators such as the New York Times Postseason Simulator and ESPN’s Football Power Index. Those can be useful tools in providing content to each team’s chances of making the playoffs.

Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply. Must Opt-in. Must be physically present in Maryland

Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates May 2023

Below are the most notable transactions and personnel news from this offseason that could affect the Ravens playoff chances: 

  • 🗓️ May 3: CB Rock Ya-Sin signs with the Ravens on a one-year deal worth $6M.
  • 🗓️ May 1: The Ravens decline LB Patrick Queen's fifth-year option.
  • 🗓️ April 29: The Day 3 draft picks of the Ravens include Stanford CB Kyu Blu Kelly, Oregon OT Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu, and USC guard Andrew Vorhees.
  • 🗓️ April 28: The Ravens draft Clemson LB Trenton Simpson in the third round and Mississippi LB Tavius Robinson in the fourth round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • 🗓️ April 27: QB Lamar Jackson signs a five-year, $260M contract extension. The Ravens draft WR Zay Flowers with the No. 22 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • 🗓️ April 13: The Ravens sign WR Odell Beckham Jr. to a one-year, $15M deal.
  • 🗓️ March 29: The Ravens sign WR Nelson Agholor.
  • 🗓️ March 27: 2019 NFL MVP QB Lamar Jackson tweets that he requested a trade from the Ravens.
  • 🗓️ March 15: The Ravens re-sign RB Justice Hill and QB Tyler Huntley. They also trade safety Chuck Clark to the Jets.
  • 🗓️ March 13: Former Walter Payton Man of the Year Calais Campbell is released.
  • 🗓️ March 7: The Ravens place the non-exclusive franchise tag on QB Lamar Jackson.
  • 🗓️ Jan. 29: Defensive coordinator Greg Roman announces his retirement from coaching. WR Andy Isabella is signed to a futures contract.
  • 🗓️ Feb. 14: Todd Monken is named offensive coordinator.
  • 🗓️ Jan. 10: The Ravens re-sign LB Roquan Smith to five-year extension.

Check back regularly as I will updated this post with more relevant personnel news as the offseason moves forward.

Where Can I Bet on the Ravens to Make the Playoffs?

Fans and bettors can already place a bet on the Ravens to make the playoffs. DraftKings Maryland currently lists playoff odds, but odds will soon be available at other sportsbooks as well. Multiple Maryland sportsbooks launched in the state in November 2022.

With a 60% chance to make the playoffs, the Ravens postseason hopes figure to come down to the wire.

Looking Ahead: Ravens Playoff Picture

Fresh off a 10-7 finish, the Baltimore Ravens played the Cincinnati Bengals tough in the AFC Wild Game, only to come up short in a hard-fought 24-17 defeat. With Lamar Jackson headed back to Baltimore, the Ravens stand a tremendous chance to make the playoffs. 

Under John Harbaugh, Baltimore has made the playoffs in four of the last five seasons. That includes a pair of AFC North titles over the stretch. Despite the success, the Ravens had not made it past the divisional round of the playoffs since 2012 when Harbaugh’s Ravens held off brother Jim Harbaugh’s San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII. 

Last season, Baltimore was toward the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. The Ravens, however, ranked in the top 10 in both total and scoring defense. With tight end Mark Andrews as the team’s leading receiver last year, Baltimore has brought in some veterans at the wide receiver position to give Jackson some new throwing options, including Odell Beckham Jr., Andy Isabella and Zay Flowers.

Do the Ravens Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Ravens have a chance to make the playoffs. While the implied probability currently has Baltimore with an almost equal chance to make and miss the playoffs, that will likely sway one way or another depending on the actual on-field play of QB Lamar Jackson. With a 60% implied probability, the Ravens are currently a Top 10 odds team in the AFC to make the playoffs. Given that seven teams make the postseason in each conference, Baltimore is largely seen by oddsmakers as a fringe playoff team. Last season, Baltimore was the No. 6 seed in the AFC despite Jackson missing five games.

Are the Ravens Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Baltimore Ravens are not out of the playoffs. With the start of the 2023 regular season still months away, no NFL team has been eliminated yet. As it stands right now, however, the Ravens’ best chance of playing meaningful football in January will come with Jackson behind center. The Ravens have a 60% chance of making the playoffs and the second-best chances of winning the AFC North, behind the Bengals.

Baltimore Ravens Playoff FAQs


Mike Ferguson is a football betting analyst for Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top NFL football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in MD. From time-to-time Mike will also turn his attention to NFL, NBA, MLB or NHL betting lines that Maryland sports bettors might be interested in but football odds are Mike's expertise.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as:

Scroll to top