Katie Ledecky 2024 Olympics Odds: Will The US Swimmer Win Gold In Paris 2024?

Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

No swimmer has been a bigger star in the past few Olympiads than Maryland’s own Katie Ledecky. The 2024 Paris Olympics will be another chance for her to shine.

Ledecky was born in Washington, D.C. and raised in Bethesda, Maryland, so she’ll draw a lot of Maryland sports betting interest at this summer’s Paris Games. In previous Olympics, she has won freestyle gold at 200, 400, 800 and 1500 meters.

BetMaryland.com created these odds for how she’ll do in her best events.

Katie Ledecky 400 Free Odds

Finish

Odds

Percentage Chance

Gold

-250

71.4%

Silver

+275

26.7%

Bronze

+6500

1.5%

No Place

+25000

0.4%

Katie Ledecky, 27, has won one Olympic gold medal in the 400 freestyle, at the Rio Games in 2016. She also took home a silver medal in the event at the 2020 Tokyo Games (which actually took place in 2021 because of COVID-19). In Tokyo she lost to Australia’s Ariarne Titmus by less than a second in the final.

This is a somewhat shorter race for Ledecky, who tends to be more dominant at longer distances. Still, she won the 200 free at the Rio Games in 2016 (she was fifth at that event in Tokyo) and the 400 is a strong event for Ledecky. We rate her as the -250 favorite for this event at the Paris Games; see Maryland sportsbook apps for wagers as the Olympics draw closer.

Katie Ledecky 800 Free Odds

Finish

Odds

Percentage Chance

Gold

-900

90.0%

Silver

+1000

9.1%

Bronze

+12500

0.8%

No Place

+100000

0.1%

The 800 free is perhaps Ledecky’s most dominant event at the Olympics, which is saying something.

The Maryland swimmer has won the past three gold medals in this event. Her time of 8 minutes, 12.57 seconds in 2020 was more than a second ahead of Titmus. Ledecky was undefeated in 800 free finals in competition for 13 years, until Canada’s Summer McIntosh beat the American at the Zone South Sectionals in Orlando in February 2024.

Ledecky set the world record at 8:04.79 with her Olympic victory in 2016 and that mark still stands. We give her -900 odds of making it four gold medals in a row at the 800-meter distance this summer.

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Katie Ledecky 1500 Free Odds

Finish

Odds

Percentage Chance

Gold

-2500

96.2%

Silver

+3000

3.2%

Bronze

+20000

0.5%

No Place

+100000

0.1%

On the other hand, perhaps the 1500 free is Ledecky’s best event. In Tokyo, she outlasted fellow American Erica Sullivan by more than 4 seconds, with a time of 15:37.34, as the women’s 1500 free made its Olympic debut. Ledecky also holds the world record, set in 2018, in a time of 15:20.48. We see no reason to doubt her ability to repeat in Paris, making her the overwhelming favorite with -2500 odds to win gold, a 96.2% implied probability.

Overall, Ledecky has 10 career Olympic medals (seven gold, including one in the 4x200 free relay in 2016, and three silver) to put her two behind Jenny Thompson’s all-time record. Thompson won eight golds, three silvers and one bronze medal in her Olympic career. We lean toward Ledecky breaking all of those records in France, cementing her argument as the greatest female swimmer – American or otherwise – in history.

And it all started in the Old Line State, where BetMaryland.com offers the best Maryland sports betting promo codes available.

USA Today photo by Indianapolis Star

Katie Ledecky Q&As

Author

Jim Tomlin has nearly 30 years of experience in journalism, having worked at such publications as the Tampa Bay Times, FanRag, Saturdays Down South and Saturday Tradition. He is a contributing writer and editor for BetMaryland.com.

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